Whereas it’s no secret that the upcoming June 5 launch of the Nintendo Swap 2 will likely be a reasonably large deal for the business, online game business evaluation agency DFC Intelligence believes that the brand new console may simply be crucial console launch that the business has seen to date. In accordance with WCCFTech, the evaluation agency believes that Nintendo will find yourself promoting 16 million items of the Swap 2 by the tip of 2025.
In accordance with the agency’s report, its confidence within the Swap 2’s {hardware} gross sales is available in mild of Grand Theft Auto 6 getting pushed again from its Fall 2025 launch window to Might 26, 2026. This, coupled with the truth that Nintendo itself additionally tends to be pretty conservative in its personal forecasts of {hardware} and software program gross sales, has led DFC Intelligence to assume that the console will find yourself doing fairly nicely this yr. For context, Nintendo’s gross sales forecasts for the Swap 2’s first yr is to promote 15 million items.
As for dubbing the Swap 2’s launch as crucial console launch within the business, the agency places this all the way down to the truth that GTA 6 gained’t be out this yr to assist push gross sales of the PS5 and Xbox Sequence X/S {hardware}. Due to this, DFC additionally believes that console gross sales for Sony and Microsoft will see extra decline because the yr goes on.
The Japanese market is predicted to carry out nicely in response to DFC, with console sport gross sales forecasts coming in at a 25 p.c rise. The agency credit the very fact that there’s a region-specific Japan-only SKU of the Swap 2 out there within the nation at a significantly lower cost than the region-free model which has all of the languages out there.
Wanting on the business for the approaching yr and past, DFC does consider that GTA 6’s eventual launch will enhance console gross sales by fairly a bit, calling it a brand new section of progress for the gaming business. By the point the yr 2029 rolls round, the evaluation agency believes that greater than 100 million items of the Swap 2 can have been bought, making Nintendo’s platform the principle one for third-party companions as nicely.
Throughout a latest shareholder Q&A, Nintendo president Shuntaro Furukawa had famous that, whereas the worth of the Nintendo Swap 2 is at the moment locked in at $449.99, the corporate might need to boost the worth sooner or later relying on how the scenario with the US tariffs on import performs out. He additionally notes that the corporate’s forecast of promoting 15 million items of the Swap 2 doesn’t stem from manufacturing points.
“This gross sales projection was not decided primarily based on limitations in our manufacturing capability,” mentioned Furukawa. “The scenario with US tariffs and considerations about financial downturn have additionally not affected our forecast. With the intention to obtain the goal of 15 million, we might want to manufacture much more items than that.”
Nintendo has additionally confirmed that, whereas the Swap 2 will likely be a giant deal for the corporate, it’ll proceed to help the unique Swap with extra video games as nicely.
